NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, bets, predictions for Week 13, 2023: Model eyeing Buccaneers, Jaguars
The Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers are the two biggest 2024 Super Bowl favorites, making their meeting in the Week 13 NFL schedule one of the highlights of the season. Philadelphia easily dispatched of San Francisco in last year’s NFC Championship Game, as the Niners were down to utilizing Christian McCaffrey as their emergency quarterback. Philadelphia was a three-point home favorite in that game, but the Niners are favored by 2.5 on the road on Sunday, per the Week 13 NFL odds. This is just the second time since the start of last season that Philadelphia will be an underdog with Jalen Hurts under center.
The Eagles both won and covered in the other, but should that outcome have any bearing on your NFL picks for this game and how should you play the other Week 13 NFL spreads? All of the Week 13 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 13 NFL picks now.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 13 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 175-126 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 29-18 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season and is 22-8 straight-up the last two weeks.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 13 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.
Top Week 13 NFL predictions
We can tell you one of the model’s strongest Week 13 NFL picks is that the Buccaneers (-5.5) cover at home against the Panthers. Carolina fired head coach Frank Reich this week and the team averaged only 16.5 points per game in the eight contests in which Reich called plays. However, from Weeks 8-10, offensive coordinator Thomas Brown was the play-caller and he will assume those duties with Reich canned, but one shouldn’t expect the Panthers to suddenly light up the scoreboard now. Carolina averaged even fewer points (13.7 points per game) during the three games in which Brown was signaling plays to Bryce Young.
Carolina has the third-worst turnover differential (minus-seven), while Tampa has the seventh-best differential at plus-five. Giving away possessions is something Carolina’s offense simply can’t overcome, as the Buccaneers are averaging 22.8 points per game over their last four, while the Panthers haven’t topped 15 points in any of their last five. Carolina is averaging just 15.7 points for the season, but SportsLine’s model doesn’t see it even reaching that total as the Bucs (-5.5) cover well over 50% of the time. See which other teams to pick here.
Another one of its Week 13 NFL predictions: The Jaguars (-8.5) cover the spread at home versus the Bengals on Monday. The loss of Joe Burrow (wrist) was apparent both on the scoreboard and on the stat sheet in Cincy’s Week 12 loss to the Steelers. Pittsburgh didn’t fear the Bengals’ passing game, so it loaded up to stop the run and held Cincinnati to 25 rushing yards. That’s the third-fewest by the Bengals in their 56-year history of the franchise.
Expect a similar game plan by the Jags, who already own the No. 4 run defense in the league. The model projects Joe Mixon to be held under 3.5 yards per carry, which will put too much pressure on inexperienced QB Jake Browning. He’s expected to have the same number of interceptions as touchdowns, which was the case last week when Cincinnati scored only 10 points. SportsLine’s model has the Jags winning Monday’s game by double-digits and covering as 8-point favorites well over 50% of the time. With Cincy not contributing much to the point total, the model also has the Under (39) hitting in over 50% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.
How to make Week 13 NFL picks
The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 13 NFL schedule and just revealed two highly-coveted A-rated picks. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
So what NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which A-rated picks should you lock in now? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.
Week 13 NFL odds, lines, spreads
Get full NFL picks at SportsLine
Thursday, Nov. 30
Seahawks at Cowboys (-9, 47)
Sunday, Dec. 3
Chargers at Patriots (+6, 40.5)
Lions at Saints (+4, 46)
Falcons at Jets (+2.5, 34)
Cardinals at Steelers (-5.5, 41)
Colts at Titans (+1, 42.5)
Dolphins at Commanders (+9.5, 50)
Broncos at Texans (-3.5, 47)
Panthers at Buccaneers (-5.5, 37)
49ers at Eagles (+3, 46.5)
Browns at Rams (-3.5, 39.5)
Chiefs at Packers (+6.5, 42)
Monday, Dec. 4
Bengals at Jaguars (-8.5, 38)
